EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5653; (P) 1.5675; (R1) 1.5700; More….

EUR/AUD weakens notably today but stays above 1.5606 so far. Intraday bias stays neutral first with focus back on 1.5606. Firm break of 1.5606 will argue that a short term top is formed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.5476) and below. Nonetheless, break of 1.5816 should now confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Sustained break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

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