EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1406; (P) 1.1431; (R1) 1.1444; More…

A temporary top is in place at 1.1452 in EUR/CHF with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. For now, further rise is expected as long as 1.1363 minor support holds. Above 1.1452 will extend the rebound from 1.1242 short term bottom to 1.1489 support turned resistance first. Decisive break there will add to the case of trend reversal ahead of key support zone between 1.1154/98. However, on the downside, below 1.1329 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.1242 low instead.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1189) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

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