Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1261; (P) 1.1293; (R1) 1.1310; More…
EUR/CHF’s decline from 1.1501 turns out to be deeper than expected. The break of 61.8% retracement of 1.1173 to 1.1501 at 1.1298 argue that whole rebound from 1.1173 might have completed already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.1173 low. On the upside, break of 1.1356 resistance is now needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will be mildly bearish even in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1240) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.
