Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1161; (P) 1.1188; (R1) 1.1201; More…
While EUR/CHF is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD, further decline is expected as long as 1.1256 minor resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.1173 low (inside 1.1154/98 key support zone) will carry larger bearish implication and could trigger downside acceleration. Next downside target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1444 at 1.0930. On the upside, though, break of 1.1256 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery to 1.1310 support turned resistance.
In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.
