EUR/CHF’s pull back from 1.1537 short term top extended to 1.1260 last week. But the cross drew support from 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 as expected and recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.1394 minor resistance will argue that the correction is completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.1537 high. Nonetheless, on the downside, firm break of 1.1267 will extend the fall and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1100.
In the bigger picture, firm break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.
