EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0418; (P) 1.0436; (R1) 1.0452; More….

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 1.0365 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. As long as 1.0511 resistance holds, further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.0365 will resume larger down trend to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0511 will confirm short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0567) and possibly above.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

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