EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8889; (P) 0.8905; (R1) 0.8929; More…

EUR/GBP recovers strongly after hitting 0.8864. But upside is limited well below 0.8957 so far. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Overall, while correction from 0.8957 may extend, as long as 0.8815 support holds, larger rally is expected to continue. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8967 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8620 at 0.8963) should confirm completion of whole decline from 0.9305. EUR/GBP should then target 61.8% retracement at 0.9043 next.

In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is staying in long term range pattern from 0.9304 (2016 high). The corrective structure of the fall from 0.9305 to 0.8620 is raising the chance that rise from 0.8312 to 0.9305 is an impulsive move. But we’re not too confident on it yet. In any case, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 0.9304/5 to limit upside in case of further rally. Meanwhile, if there is another medium term decline, strong support will likely be seen from 0.8303 to contain downside.

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