Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8472; (P) 0.8531; (R1) 0.8564; More…
EUR/GBP recovers mildly today but with 0.8568 minor resistance intact, intraday bias stays on the downside. Current development suggests that consolidation from 0.8472 has completed with three waves to 0.8681, after failing to sustain above 55 day EMA. Break of 0.8472 low will resume fall from 0.9101 and target 61.8% projection of 0.9101 to 0.8472 from 0.8681 at 0.8292 next. On the upside, above 0.8568 minor resistance will delay the bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 0.9306 (2017 high) is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s extending through 0.8312 support towards 50% retracement of 0.6935 (2015 low) to 0.9306 at 0.8121. We’ll look for strong support around there to contain downside to complete the correction. But for now, break of 0.8681 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.
