EUR/GBP Weekly Outlook

EUR/GBP stayed in consolidation below 0.8739 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 55 D EMA (now at 0.8646).Firm break of 0.8739 will resume the whole rise from 0.8491, and target 100% projection of 0.8491 to 0.8704 from 0.8614 at 0.8827 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) has completed with three down to to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 is seen as another leg inside that pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further rally should be seen to 0.8977 resistance and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8614 support holds.

In the long term picture, long term range pattern is extending. But rise from 0.6935 (2015 low) is expected to resume at a later stage, to 0.9799 (2009 high).

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