EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 120.36; (P) 120.71; (R1) 121.15; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with today’s recovery. Outlook is unchanged that fall from 124.43 hasn’t finished. On the downside, break of 119.31 will resume such decline and target 61.8% retracement of 114.42 to 124.43 at 118.24. On the upside, however, break of 122.11 will argue that fall from 124.43 has completed. Stronger rise would be seen to retest 124.43.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 137.49 (2018 high) could have completed at 114.42 already. Rise from 114.42 would target 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 114.42 at 128.67 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to 137.59 (2018 high). This will remain the preferred case for now, as long as 55 day EMA (now at 119.90) holds. However, sustained break of 55 day EMA will revive medium term bearishness for another low below 114.42 at a later stage.

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