EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.99; (P) 131.55; (R1) 131.85; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 133.47 is still in progress. As noted before, corrective rise from 128.94 has completed at 133.47 already. Deeper decline is expected to retest 128.94 low next. And, break there will resume whole fall from 137.49. On the upside, above 132.53 minor resistance will delay the bearish case. Intraday bias would be turned to the upside to extend the rebound from 128.94. Still, we expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 128.94 at 134.22 to limit upside and bring near term reversal eventually.

In the bigger picture, price action from 137.49 medium term top are developing into a corrective pattern. The first leg has completed at 128.94. The second leg might be finished at 133.47 or it might extend. But after all, we’d expect another decline through 128.94 to 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 before completing the correction.

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