EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.14; (P) 130.41; (R1) 130.83; More….

EUR/JPY’s rebound from 129.22 short term bottom extends higher to as high as 131.02 so far. With 4 hour 55 EMA taken out, intraday bias is on the upside for further rise to 55 day EMA (now at 131.62). Nonetheless, we’d expect strong resistance below 133.47 resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 129.99 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 128.94. Break will resume the corrective fall from 137.49 and target 61.8% projection of 137.49 to 128.94 from 133.47 at 128.18 next.

In the bigger picture, for now, price actions from 137.49 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Hence, while, deeper decline would be seen, strong support is expected at 38.2% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 126.61 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) is expected to resume afterwards. Though, sustained break of 126.61 will be an important sign of trend reversal and will turn focus to 124.08 resistance turned support.

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