EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1258; (P) 1.1316; (R1) 1.1362; More…..

EUR/USD recovered ahead of 1.1267 support and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.1267 will suggest that larger decline is resuming and target 1.1251 low next. Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case. EUR/USD should drop through 1.1186 fibonacci level to 61.8% projection of 1.2555 to 1.1300 from 1.1814 at 1.1038 next. And in any case, near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1472 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1814 resistance holds, down trend down trend from 1.2555 medium term top is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0339 (2017 low) to 1.2555 at 1.1186 next. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0339. However, break of 1.1814 will confirm completion of such down trend and turn medium term outlook bullish.

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