Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1217; (P) 1.1263; (R1) 1.1322; More…..
EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1107 resumes after brief consolidation and breaks 1.1309 temporary top. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rally should be seen towards 1.1448 key resistance next. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 1.1200 support is needed to confirm completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor in case of retreat.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) might still be in progress. Such decline would target 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 (2016 low) to 1.2555 (2018 high) at 1.0813 on resumption. However, break of 1.1448 resistance would confirm medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. In such case, stronger rebound should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1107 at 1.1660. We’d look at the structure of the rebound to decide whether it’s a corrective rise later.
