EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1125; (P) 1.1141; (R1) 1.1154; More

After dipping to 1.1101, EUR/USD drew support from 1.1107 low and recovered. With break of 1.1158 minor resistance, intraday bias is turned neutral first. Stronger recovery could be seen. But for now, break of 1.1282 resistance is needed to confirm completion of fall from 1.1412. Otherwise, another decline will remain mildly in favor. Though, firm break of 1.1282 will bring stronger rise to 1.1412 resistance.

In the bigger picture, on the one hand, 1.1107 is seen as a medium term bottom on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. On the other hand, rejection by 55 week EMA retains medium term bearishness. Outlook stays neutral for now. On the downside, break of 1.1107 will resume the down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) to 78.6% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.0813. Meanwhile, break of 1.1412 will resume the rebound to 38.2% retracement of 1.2555 to 1.1107 at 1.1660.

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