Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1411; (P) 1.1440; (R1) 1.1476; More….
EUR/USD is losing some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned neutral first with focus on 1.1496 key resistance. On the upside, sustained break of 1.1496 will carry larger bullish implications and target 61.8% projection of 1.0774 to 1.1422 from 1.1168 at 1.1568 next. On the downside, break of 1.1370 minor support will suggest rejection by 1.1496. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1168 support. Decisive break there will indicate near term bearish reversal.
In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1496 resistance holds, whole down trend from 1.2555 (2018 high) should still be in progress. Next target is 1.0339 (2017 low). However, sustained break of 1.1496 will argue that such down trend has completed. Rise from 1.0635 could then be seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339. In this case, outlook will be turned bullish for retesting 1.2555.
