EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1556; (P) 1.1583; (R1) 1.1603; More

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.1682 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 1.1561 will extend the whole fall from 1.2348, as a correction to whole rise from 1.0634. Next target is 1.1289 medium term fibonacci level. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.1682 will bring stronger rebound back towards 1.1908 resistance.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.1602 will argue that rise from 1.0635 (2020 low) has completed at 1.2348. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1289. Note also that the firm break of 55 week EMA (1.1830) also carries medium term bearish implication. Firm break of 1.1289 will pave the way to retest 1.0635 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.1908 resistance will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.2348 high.

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