EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9694; (P) 0.9755; (R1) 0.9874; More

EUR/USD’s rebound from 0.9534 extends higher but stays below 0.9863 support turned resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and larger down trend is still expected to resume later through 0.9534. However, sustained break of 0.9863 will confirm short term bottoming, and bring stronger rally back to 1.0197 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, break of 1.0197 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even with strong rebound.

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