EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0796; (P) 1.0863; (R1) 1.0900; More

A temporary top is formed at 1.0929 in EUR/USD with current retreat. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rally is in favor as long as 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.0739) holds. Above 1.0929 will target 1.1032 high first. Decisive break there will resume whole up trend from 0.9534 and target 1.1273 fibonacci level next. However, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA will likely extend the corrective pattern from 1.1032 and bring deeper decline back towards 1.0515.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) is in progress with 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0460 intact. The strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.0623) was also a medium term bullish sign. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. Sustained break there will solidity the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high).

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