Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1792; (P) 1.1825 (R1) 1.1883; More…
EUR/USD failed to break out 1.1879 resistance and retreated. Intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, break of 1.1879 will revive the case that corrective fall from 1.2091 has completed at 1.1669, ahead of 1.1661 support. EUR/USD should target a test on 1.2091 high then. Meanwhile, break of 1.1729 will bring retest of 1.1669 instead.
In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 1.0339 is not finished yet. It’s expected to continue after pull back from 1.2091 completes. And, next target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. However, it should be noted that there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, such rebound from 1.0399 could be a correction. And the long term fall from 1.6039 (2008 high) could resume. Hence, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.2516 to limit upside.
