Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1630; (P) 1.1654 (R1) 1.1685; More…
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral at this point. As long as 1.1689 resistance holds, deeper decline is in favor. Below 1.1553 will resume whole fall from 1.2091 and target 38.2% retracement of 1.0569 to 1.2091 at 1.1510. We’d be cautious on strong support from there to bring rebound. But sustained break of 1.1510 will pave the way to next support zone at 1.1118/1267. On the upside, break of 1.1689 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.1836 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is seen as a corrective move for the moment. Therefore, in case of another rally, we’d be cautious on 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 to limit upside and bring reversal. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.1346) will suggest that such medium term rebound is completed and could then bring retest of 1.0339 low.
