Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2290; (P) 1.2334 (R1) 1.2370; More….
EUR/USD is holding inside tight range above 1.2302 minor support. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, above 1.2396 will extend the rise from 1.2214 to 1.2475 and then 1.2555. 1.2516/55 is the key resistance zone to determine larger outlook. On the downside, below 1.2302 will turn bias to the downside for 1.2214 support first. And firm break there will revive the case of rejection by 1.2516 key fibonacci level and turn outlook bearish.
In the bigger picture, key fibonacci level at 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516 remains intact despite attempts to break. Hence, rise from 1.0339 medium term bottom is still seen as a corrective move for the moment. Rejection from 1.2516 will maintain long term bearish outlook and keep the case for retesting 1.0039 alive. Firm break of 1.1553 support will add more medium term bearishness. However, sustained break of 1.2516 will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.3862 in medium term.
