EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1770; (P) 1.1804 (R1) 1.1831; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral for consolidation above 1.1762. Near term outlook remains bearish with 1.1995 resistance intact and further decline is expected. Below 1.1762 will resume the fall from 1.2555 for 1.1708 medium term fibonacci level next. Break will target 1.1553 support.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that EUR/USD was rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.6039 (2008 high) to 1.0339 (2017 low) at 1.2516. And, a medium term was formed at 1.2555 already. Decline from there should extend further. Break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0339 to 1.2555 at 1.1708 will target 61.8% retracement at 1.1186. For now, even in case of rebound, we won’t consider the fall from 1.2555 as finished as long as 55 day EMA (now at 1.2162) holds.

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