GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.18; (P) 141.20; (R1) 142.89; More…

GBP/JPY’s rebound from 131.51 turns out to be stronger than expected and reaches as high as 142.22 so far. Firm break of 139.88 resistance is taken as the first sign of larger reversal. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 143.93 resistance first. Sustained break will pave the way to 149.48 resistance next. On the downside, break of 137.35 support is now needed to confirm completion of the rebound. Otherwise, risk will stay on the upside in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, corrective medium term rise from 122.36 (2016 low) has completed at 156.69 already. That came after failing to break through 55 month EMA. No change in this view. Strong rebound from 131.51 argues that fall from 156.59 (2018 high) is just the second leg of the corrective pattern from 122.36. Break of 149.38 resistance will confirm the third leg has started to 159.69, and possibly above. Nevertheless, break of 131.51 will pave the way to retest 122.26 low.

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