GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2999; (P) 1.3114; (R1) 1.3223; More….

GBP/USD spiked lower to 1.3003 but quickly recovered ahead of 1.2960 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.2960 intact, rise from 1.2391 is still in favor to extend. On the upside, firm break of 1.3381 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.4376 to 1.2391 at 1.3618 next. However, on the downside, firm break of 1.2960 will indicate that rebound from 1.2391 has completed earlier than expected. Deeper fall would then be seen to 1.2773 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.4376 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.2391. Rise from 1.2391 is now seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1946 (2016 low). Further rise could be seen through 1.4376 in medium term. On the downside, though, break of 1.2773 support will dampen this view. Focus will be turned back to 1.2391 low and break will resume the fall from 1.4376 to 1.1946.

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