GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2504; (P) 1.2554; (R1) 1.2654; More….

GBP/USD’s breach of 1.2653 minor resistance argues that pull back from 1.2813 short term top has completed at 1.2454, after drawing support from 55 day EMA. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.2813. Firm break there will resume larger rise from 1.1409. On the downside, though, sustained break of 55 day EMA will argue that whole rebound from 1.1409 has completed. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 1.2065 support for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 1.1409 is strong, there is not enough evidence for rend reversal yet. Down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high) should still resume sooner or later. However, decisive break of 1.3514 should at least confirm medium term bottoming and turn outlook bullish for 1.4376 resistance first.

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