GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3209; (P) 1.3289; (R1) 1.3384; More

Further decline could still be seen in GBP/USD. But we’d look for some support from 1.3164 fibonacci level to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3369 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3512 resistance first. However, sustained break of 1.3164 will carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.4248 suggests that it’s a correction to the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) only. While deeper fall cannot be ruled out yet, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164, at least on first attempt, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3833 resistance will argue that the correction has completed and bring retest of 1.4248 high. However, sustained trading below 1.3164 will revive some medium term bearishness and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2493.

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