GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2242; (P) 1.2439; (R1) 1.2552; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the downside at this point. Firm break of 161.8% projection of 1.3641 to 1.2999 from 1.3297 at 1.2258 will target 200% projection at 1.2013 next. On the upside, break of 1.2637 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248, ahead of 1.4376 long term resistance (2018 high). Based on current momentum, fall from 1.4248 is probably the start of a long term down trend. The break of 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493 is affirming this bearish case too. For now, deeper decline would be seen as long as 1.3158 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low.

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