GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2489; (P) 1.2539; (R1) 1.2616; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is back on the upside as recent up trend resumes by breaking 1.2582. Further rally should target 1.2759 fibonacci level first. Firm break there will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 1.2434 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.0351 medium term term bottom (2022 low) is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 (2021 high) to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. Further break of 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095 could prompt upside acceleration to 100% projection at 1.3895. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.1801 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

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