GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2141; (P) 1.2183; (R1) 1.2246; More

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. Recovery from 1.2109 could still extend higher. But near term risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.2420 turned resistance holds. Fall from 1.3141 is still in favor to continue. On the downside, decisive break of 1.2075 fibonacci level would carry larger bearish implication and target 1.1801 support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2526) holds, in case of rebound.

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