GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4156; (P) 1.4200; (R1) 1.4273; More….

GBP/USD edged higher to 1.4243 but dropped sharply since then. Intraday bias is turned neutral with focus back on 1.4075 support holds. Firm break there will indicate completion of rebound from 1.3711. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.3711. On the upside, above 1.4243 will target 1.4345 resistance first. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend and target 61.8% projection of 1.3038 to 1.4345 from 1.3711 at 1.4519 next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3038 support holds, medium term outlook in GBP/USD will remains bullish. Rise from 1.1946 is at least correcting the long term down from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. However, GBP/USD fails to sustain above 55 month EMA (now at 1.4259) so far. Break of 1.3038 support, will suggest that rise from 1.1946 has completed and will turn outlook bearish for retesting this low.

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