GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4016; (P) 1.4131; (R1) 1.4195; More

GBP/USD decline extends to as low as 1.4018 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.3965 support. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, a medium term could be in place at 1.4376 already. Break of 1.3965 will pave the way to retest 1.3711 key support level. On the upside, above 1.4098 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.1946 (2016 low) could be still in progress . It is at least correcting the long term down trend from 2007 high at 2.1161. Further rally would be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 2.1161 (2007 high) to 1.1946 (2016 low) at 1.5466. We’d continue to favor this medium term bullish view as long as 1.3711 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

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