Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2332; (P) 1.2404; (R1) 1.2445; More…
No change in GBP/USD’s outlook. Further is expected with 1.2505 minor resistance intact. Triangle pattern from 1.1946 could be finished with five waves to 1.2614 too. Deeper decline would be seen back to 1.2108 first. Decisive break there will argue that medium term down trend is resuming. In that case, GBP/USD should take out 1.1946/1986 support zone to 61.8% projection of 1.5016 to 1.1946 from 1.2614 at 1.0717. On the upside, however, break of 1.2505 resistance will invalidate this immediately bearish case. Then, it will turn bias back to the upside for 1.2614 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. There is no sign of medium term reversal yet. Sustained trading below 61.8% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 1.2457 will target 100% projection at 0.9532. Overall, break of 1.3444 resistance is needed to confirm medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.
