USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3141; (P) 1.3185; (R1) 1.3230; More

A temporary low is formed at 1.3128 in USD/CAD with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. While fall from 1.3385 could still extend, we’d expect downside to be contained there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3258 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.3385. However, firm break of 1.3067will bring deeper decline to channel support (now at 1.2839).

In the bigger picture, as long as channel support (now at 1.2825) holds, we’ll holding to the bullish view. That is, fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) has completed at 1.2061, ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. Further rally should be seen for 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and above.

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