USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD stayed in consolidation from 1.3345 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week for more sideway trading. As long as 1.3177 support holds, further rise is expected. On the upside, break of 1.3445 will resume the rebound from 1.3016 for 1.3564/3664 resistance zone. However, break of 1.3177 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3016 instead.

In the bigger picture, key cluster support of 1.3068 (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052/68 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

In the longer term picture, outlook remains unchanged that price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are forming a corrective pattern. As long as 1.2061 support holds. up trend from 0.9406 (2011 low) in in favor to resume through 1.4689 at a later stage.

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