Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3168; (P) 1.3189; (R1) 1.3222; More….
USD/CAD’s rally resumes after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise from 1.2951 should target 1.3327 resistance next. As noted before, we’re favoring the case that corrective pattern from 1.3664 has completed as a triangle at 1.2951. Decisive break of 1.3327 should confirm this case. On the downside, break of 1.3117 is needed to indicate completion of the current rally. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.
In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.3664, after failing 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. However, structure of price actions from 1.3664 argues that it’s probably just a corrective move. Hence, while further fall cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.2863.
