USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3053; (P) 1.3118; (R1) 1.3207; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for the moment. Prior break of 1.3080 completed a double top pattern (1.3588, 1.3598) and indicates reversal. Fall from 1.3598 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 and should target 1.2460 low next. On the upside, break of 1.3293 is needed to confirm completion of the fall from 1.3598. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg is like finished at 1.3598 too after hitting 50% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3575. Break of 1.3080 would now likely resume the fall from 1.4689 through 1.2460 to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. We’d start to look for reversal signal below 1.2460 to complete the correction. In case of another rise, we’ll look for topping sign at 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

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