USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2544; (P) 1.2584; (R1) 1.2603; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation above 1.2544 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.2730 minor resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 1.2544 will extend the decline from 1.3124 and target 1.2061/2246 support zone.

In the bigger picture, current development turns favors to the case that rise from 1.2061 is a corrective three wave pattern. It could have completed at 1.3124 after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Focus is now back on 1.2061 and 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend from 1.4689 (2016 high) to 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424.

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