USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9921; (P) 0.9943; (R1) 0.9982; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as sideway trading continues inside range of 0.9855/9991. On the upside, break of 0.9991 will resume the rebound from 0.9787 for 1.0056 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 0.9186 for 1.0342 key resistance level. On the downside, below 0.9855 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0056 with another fall. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 is seen as a leg inside the long term range pattern. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. Above 1.0056 will target 1.0342 (2016 high). In that case, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

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