Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9899; (P) 0.9958; (R1) 0.9999; More…
USD/CHF drops to as low as 0.9830 so far today and break of 0.9854 support confirms resumption of fall from 1.0237. Rejection by 55 day was also a clear near term bearish signal. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 0.9716 support next. On the upside, break of 0.9897 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited well below 1.0014 resistance to bring fall resumption.
In the bigger picture, USD/CHF’s break of long term trend line support is the first indication of medium term reversal. That is, rise from 0.9186 (2018 low) could have completed at 1.0237 already). Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9836 will confirm and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9587. However, strong rebound from 0.9836 will revive medium term bullishness for 1.0237 and above.
