USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9890; (P) 0.9957; (R1) 1.0011; More

Break of 0.9983 suggests resumption of rally from 0.9659. More importantly, corrective decline from 1.0237 should have completed too. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0016 and then 78.6% retracement at 1.0113. On the downside,break of 0.9843 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Sustained break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

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