USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9313; (P) 0.9497; (R1) 0.9597; More

USD/CHF’s decline from 1.0146 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Further fall should be seen to 0.9369 support, and then 0.9287 fibonacci level. On the upside, break of 0.9544 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first and bring consolidation, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9821) holds.

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