USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.76; (P) 113.27; (R1) 113.62; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 114.36 extends lower today but there is no change in the outlook so far. Such decline is seen as a correction. We’d expect downside to be contained by 112.08 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 108.12 to 114.36 at 111.97) and bring rally resumption. Above 113.15 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 114.36 resistance first. Also, corrective fall from 118.65 is completed with three wave down to 108.12. Above 114.36 will target 115.49 resistance first. Break there should resume whole rise from 98.97 to 125.85 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It’s uncertain whether it’s completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 115.49 resistance will extend the rise from 98.97 to retest 125.85. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.

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