USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 103.18; (P) 103.25; (R1) 103.32; More..

Break of 102.87 suggests resumption of down trend from 111.71. USD/JPY should target a test on 101.18 low. On the upside, break of 103.89 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Hence, there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. The down trend could still extend through 101.18 low. On the upside, break of 106.10 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

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