USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.93; (P) 105.02; (R1) 105.12; More..

USD/JPY’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 105.37 so far. Current rise from 102.58 short term bottom is at least correcting the down trend from 111.71. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.96 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first, and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

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