Fri, Jun 02, 2023 @ 14:23 GMT

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.49; (P) 113.19; (R1) 113.84; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 113.94 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 115.51 high. However, sustained break of 112.71 will argue that fall from 115.51 is already correcting whole rise from 102.58. Deeper decline would then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 115.51 at 110.57.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that rise from 102.58 is the third leg of the up trend from 101.18 (2020 low). Such rally should target a test on 118.65 (2016 high) on resumption. However, firm break of 109.11 structural support will argue that the trend might have reversed and bring deeper fall to 107.47 support and possibly below.

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