USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.06; (P) 157.26; (R1) 159.53; More…

Yen’s steep retreat today suggests that a short term top is already in place 160.20, close to 160 psychological level. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations first. Some support might come from 38.2% retracement of 146.47 to 160.20 at 154.95 to bring recovery. But break of 160.20 is not envisaged for now. However, firm break of 154.95 will turn bias to the downside for deeper correction to 55 D EMA (now at 151.80).

In the bigger picture, current rise from 140.25 is seen as the third leg of the up trend from 127.20 (2023 low). Next target is 100% projection of 127.20 to 151.89 from 140.25 at 164.94. Outlook will remain bullish as long as 150.87 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

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