USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 105.20; (P) 105.75; (R1) 106.25; More…

USD/JPY recovers today but stays well below 106.37 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains on the downside for the moment. As noted before, down trend from 118.65 has just resumed and should target 100% projection of 118.65 to 108.12 from 114.73 at 104.20 next. Firm break there will pave the way to 98.97 key support level and below. On the upside, above 106.37 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 107.67 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that the corrective pattern from 118.65 is extending. The solid break of 61.8% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 106.48 now suggests that the pattern from 125.85 high is possibly extending. Deeper fall could be seen through 98.97 key support (2016 low). This bearish case will now be favored as long as 110.47 resistance holds.

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