Fri, Mar 24, 2023 @ 00:36 GMT

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 108.67; (P) 109.26; (R1) 109.58; More….

USD/JPY reaches as low as 108.72 so far as the fall from 118.65 extended. Deeper fall could still be seen as long as 110.10 support turned resistance holds. Sustained break of 50% retracement of 98.97 to 118.65 at 108.81 will target 61.8% retracement at 106.48 and possibly below. Nonetheless, break of 110.10 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 112.19 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 111.15) will indicate that the second leg from 98.97 has completed at 118.65. And in that case, USD/JPY would start the third leg down through 98.97 low to 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. On the upside, break of 115.49 resistance should resume the rise from 98.97 for a test on 125.85 high.

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