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Trade Idea Wrap-up: EUR/USD – Stand aside

EUR/USD – 1.1837

Most recent candlesticks pattern   : N/A

Trend                      : Near term up

Tenkan-Sen level              : 1.1850

Kijun-Sen level                  : 1.1858

Ichimoku cloud top             : 1.1908

Ichimoku cloud bottom      : 1.1908

Original strategy  :

Bought at 1.1845, stopped at 1.1825

Position : – Long at 1.1845

Target :  –

Stop : – 1.1825

New strategy  :

Stand aside

Position : –

Target :  –

Stop : –

As the single currency has fallen again after meeting renewed selling interest at 1.1883, dampening our bullishness and near term downside risk remains for the fall from 1.1961 top to bring retracement of recent upmove to 1.1805-10 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.1713-1.1961), however, oversold condition should prevent sharp fall below 1.1770 and price should stay well above support at 1.1736, bring rebound later.

In view of this, would not chase this fall here and would be prudent to stand aside for now. Above said resistance at 1.1883 would suggest an intra-day low is formed instead, bring a stronger rebound to 1.1900 but break of 1.1920 is needed to signal the retreat from this week’s high at 1.1961 has ended, bring retest of this level first.

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